Nhau

Munguva pfupi yapfuura, ruzivo rwezvehupfumi muUnited States, kusanganisira mabasa ne inflation, rwaderera. Kana inflation ikadzika nekukurumidza, inogona kukurumidzisa maitiro ekudzikisa mubereko. Pachine musiyano pakati pezvaitarisirwa pamusika nekutanga kwekudzikisa mubereko, asi kuitika kwezviitiko zvine chekuita nazvo kunogona kukurudzira kugadziriswa kwemitemo neFederal Reserve.
Kuongororwa kwemitengo yegoridhe nemhangura
Panyaya huru, Sachigaro weFederal Reserve, Powell, akataura kuti mitengo yemubereko yeFed "yapinda muchikamu chinodzikamisa," uye mitengo yegoridhe yepasi rose iri kusvika pakakwirira zvakare munhoroondo. Vatengesi vaidavira kuti kutaura kwaPowell kwaive kwakapfava, uye kubheja kwemubereko kwakaderedzwa muna 2024 hakuna kudzikiswa. Kubudirira kwemabhondi eUS treasury bond nedhora reUS kwakaramba kuchidzikira, zvichikwidza mitengo yegoridhe nesirivha yepasi rose. Ruzivo rwekudzikira kwemitengo kwemwedzi yakati wandei rwakaita kuti vanoisa mari vafungidzire kuti Federal Reserve ichaderedza mitengo yemubereko muna Chivabvu 2024 kana kuti zvisati zvaitika.
Pakutanga kwaZvita 2023, Shenyin Wanguo Futures yakazivisa kuti hurukuro dzevakuru veFederal Reserve dzakakundikana kuderedza tarisiro yemusika yekurerutswa, uye musika pakutanga wakatanga kubheja pakudzikiswa kwemitengo yemitengo kutanga munaKurume 2024, zvichiita kuti mitengo yegoridhe yepasi rose isvike pakakwirira. Asi tichifunga nezvekuva netariro yakanyanya pamusoro pemitengo yakasununguka, pakava nekugadziriswa nekuderera kwakatevera. Zvichienderana nedata rehupfumi risina kusimba muUnited States uye mitengo yeUS dollar bond isina kusimba, musika wakawedzera tarisiro yekuti Federal Reserve yapedza kukwira kwemitengo yemitero uye inogona kudzikisa mitengo yemitero isati yasvika, zvichiita kuti mitengo yegoridhe neyesirivha yepasi rose irambe ichisimba. Sezvo kukwira kwemitengo yemitero yemitengo yemitero kuchisvika pakupera, data rehupfumi reUS rinoderera zvishoma nezvishoma, kusawirirana kwezvematongerwo enyika pasi rose kunoitika kakawanda, uye nzvimbo yemitengo yesimbi inokosha inokwira.
Zvinotarisirwa kuti mutengo wegoridhe wepasi rose uchaputsa zvinyorwa zvenhoroondo muna 2024, zvichikonzerwa nekudzikira kwenhamba yemadhora ekuAmerica uye tarisiro yekudzikiswa kwemubereko neFederal Reserve, pamwe nezvinhu zvezvematongerwo enyika. Zvinotarisirwa kuti mutengo wegoridhe wepasi rose ucharamba uri pamusoro pemadhora mazana maviri paaunzi, sekureva kwenyanzvi dzezvemidziyo kuING.
Pasinei nekuderera kwemari yekugadzirisa zvinhu zvine concentrate, kugadzirwa kwemhangura mudzimba kuri kuramba kuchikura nekukurumidza. Kudiwa kwese kuri kudzikira muChina kwakasimba uye kuri kuvandudzika, nekuisa simba remagetsi richikonzera kukura kukuru kwemari yekudyara magetsi, kutengeswa kwakanaka kwemhepo inotonhodza uye kukura kwekugadzirwa. Kuwedzera kwesimba remagetsi matsva kunotarisirwa kusimbisa kudiwa kwemhangura muindasitiri yemidziyo yekufambisa. Musika unotarisira kuti nguva yekuderedzwa kwemubereko weFederal Reserve muna 2024 inogona kunonoka uye zvinhu zvinogona kukwira nekukurumidza, izvo zvinogona kutungamira kune kushomeka kwenguva pfupi mumitengo yemhangura uye kuchinja-chinja kwemhando yemagetsi. Goldman Sachs akataura mumaonero ake esimbi muna 2024 kuti mitengo yemhangura yepasi rose inotarisirwa kudarika $10000 patani.

Zvikonzero Zvemitengo Yakakwira Yekare
Kubva pakutanga kwaZvita 2023, mitengo yegoridhe yepasi rose yakakwira ne12%, nepo mitengo yemuno yakakwira ne16%, zvichipfuura purofiti yemhando dzese dzemidziyo yemuno. Pamusoro pezvo, nekuda kwekubudirira kwekutengeserana kwehunyanzvi hutsva hwegoridhe, zvigadzirwa zvitsva zvegoridhe zviri kufarirwa zvakanyanya nevatengi vemuno, kunyanya chizvarwa chitsva chevakadzi vechidiki vanoda runako. Saka chii chikonzero nei goridhe rekare rabviswa zvakare uye razara nesimba?
Chimwe ndechekuti goridhe pfuma isingaperi. Mari dzenyika dzakasiyana-siyana pasi rose uye pfuma yemari munhoroondo hadziverengeki, uye kukwira nekudonha kwayo kunongoperawo. Munhoroondo refu yekushanduka kwemari, magoko, sirika, goridhe, sirivha, mhangura, simbi, nezvimwe zvinhu zvese zvakashanda sezvinhu zvemari. Mafungu anosuka jecha, asi kuona goridhe rechokwadi. Goridhe chete ndiro rakaramba rubhabhatidzo rwenguva, madzimambo, dzinza, netsika, richiva "pfuma yemari" inozivikanwa pasi rose. Goridhe re pre Qin China neGreece yekare neRoma richiri goridhe nanhasi.
Chechipiri ndechekuwedzera musika wekushandisa goridhe nehunyanzvi hutsva. Kare, maitiro ekugadzira zvigadzirwa zvegoridhe aive nyore, uye kugamuchirwa kwevasikana vechidiki kwaive kwakaderera. Mumakore achangopfuura, nekuda kwekufambira mberi kwetekinoroji yekugadzirisa, goridhe re3D ne5D, goridhe re5G, goridhe rekare, goridhe rakaoma, goridhe reenamel, goridhe reinlay, goridhe rakashongedzwa nezvimwe zvigadzirwa zvitsva zvinopenya, zvese zviri zvefashoni uye zvinorema, zvichitungamira mafashoni enyika China-Chic, uye zvinodiwa zvikuru neveruzhinji.
Chechitatu ndechekurima madhaimani kuti abatsire mukushandiswa kwegoridhe. Mumakore achangopfuura, madhaimani akarimwa nemaoko akabatsirwa nekufambira mberi kwetekinoroji uye akakurumidza kutengeserana, zvichikonzera kudzikira kwemitengo yekutengesa uye kukanganisa zvakanyanya hurongwa hwemitengo yemadhaimani echisikigo. Kunyangwe kukwikwidzana pakati pemadhaimani ekugadzira nedhaimani echisikigo kuchiri kuoma kusiyanisa, zvinoita kuti vatengi vazhinji vasatenge madhaimani ekugadzira kana madhaimani echisikigo, asi panzvimbo pezvo vatenge zvigadzirwa zvitsva zvegoridhe zvehunyanzvi.
Chechina inyaya yekuwanda kwemari yepasi rose, kuwedzera kwechikwereti, zvichiratidza kuchengetedza kukosha uye kukosha kwegoridhe. Mhedzisiro yekuwanda kwemari zvakanyanya i inflation yakanyanya uye kudzikira kukuru kwesimba rekutenga remari. Ongororo yakaitwa nenyanzvi yekune dzimwe nyika Francisco Garcia Parames inoratidza kuti mumakore makumi mapfumbamwe apfuura, simba rekutenga redhora rekuAmerica rave richiramba richidzikira, nemasendi mana chete asara kubva padhora rimwe chete rekuAmerica muna 1913 kusvika 2003, avhareji yekuderera kwegore negore kwe3.64%. Kusiyana neizvi, simba rekutenga regoridhe rakagadzikana uye rakaratidza kukwira mumakore achangopfuura. Mumakore makumi matatu apfuura, kuwedzera kwemitengo yegoridhe mumadhora ekuAmerica kwave kuchienderana nekukurumidza kwekuwanda kwemari muhupfumi hwakabudirira, zvinoreva kuti goridhe rapfuura kuwanda kwemari yekuAmerica.
Cheshanu, mabhanga makuru epasi rose ari kuwedzera goridhe rawo. Kuwedzera kana kudzikira kwegoridhe rawo nemabhangi makuru epasi rose kune zvakunokanganisa hukama hwekuwanikwa nekudiwa kwegoridhe mumusika wegoridhe. Mushure medambudziko remari repasi rose ra2008, mabhanga makuru pasi rose anga achiwedzera goridhe rawo. Kubva muchikamu chechitatu chegore ra2023, mabhanga makuru epasi rose asvika padanho repamusoro mukuchengetedza goridhe rawo. Kunyange zvakadaro, huwandu hwegoridhe mumabhangi emari yekune dzimwe nyika eChina huchiri pasi. Mamwe mabhanga makuru ane kuwedzera kukuru mukuchengetedza goridhe anosanganisira Singapore, Poland, India, Middle East, nedzimwe nzvimbo.